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Conditions at a Glance as of September 28th, 2016
In the northern hemisphere, overall wheat prospects remain good for the spring wheat season that is drawing to a close, with near-record yields reported in Kazakhstan. Winter wheat planting began under favourable conditions. In the southern hemisphere, conditions are generally favourable, with the exception of Western Australia, which experienced frost events that will likely constrain yields.
In the northern hemisphere, conditions are mixed. In the US, an above-average crop is expected; however, significant growing areas in the EU and Canada experienced adverse conditions reducing yield expectations. In the southern hemisphere, planting is underway under generally favourable conditions in Brazil and Argentina.
Rice conditions for Southeast Asia have generally improved and are favourable, most notably in India, Indonesia, and the Philippines. However, there is some concern over heavy rainfall in northern Viet Nam and over flash flooding and delayed start of the season in Thailand. Conditions remain mixed for China.
In the northern hemisphere, conditions remain generally favourable, with a very good crop expected in the US. However, in Canada, dry conditions in Ontario have lowered expected yields. In the southern hemisphere, planting began in Brazil.
In Sudan, Eritrea and Ethiopia current conditions are mostly favourable owing to good rains though concern remains over South Sudan and Yemen due to continuing conflict affecting crop production. End of season prospects are mostly favourable for countries with bi-modal growing seasons with the exception of eastern Kenya, northeastern Tanzania, southern Somalia, and Uganda where dry conditions early in the season significantly affected production.
Overall conditions are favourable across the region and harvest is underway in the north for main season crops.
Overall conditions remain favourable as the southwest monsoon brings heavy rains across the region. However, localized flooding and excess rains are raising some concerns for the rice crop across Thailand, Vietnam, and Laos.
Central America & Caribbean
Overall conditions are favourable moving into the prostrera growing season across the region, however there is concern in Haiti due to dry conditions and possible damage from Hurricane Matthew. As the primera season draws to a close, maize prospects are generally favourable in Central America, despite earlier dry conditions.